Tag: probability

116 Why don't fair coin tosses "add up"? Or... is "gambler's fallacy" really valid? 2015-12-13T19:30:29.940

27 Isn't the notion that everything will occur in an infinite timeline an example of the gambler's fallacy? 2020-01-30T14:53:00.397

20 Interpret Bayesian probability as frequentist probability? 2013-09-30T05:52:33.907

18 Have I found a paradox, or is the universe digital? Or am I just plain wrong? 2017-09-03T16:58:29.710

10 Is there any literature on the relationship between responsibility and probability? 2013-02-28T19:01:35.730

10 Is a "fair coin toss" a logical contradiction? 2015-12-14T15:39:14.467

10 Hilbert's Sixth Problem: Is Kolmogorov's solution the last word? 2016-02-16T21:58:09.483

9 What justifies probability in the case of a onetime experiment? 2014-10-21T09:22:17.440

9 Why do people perceive the randomness of events so poorly? 2015-12-16T03:25:42.733

8 Why are homologies evidence for evolution instead of common design? 2014-08-20T00:19:47.687

8 Is there a term for the position "no determinism but no free will"? 2017-11-28T16:57:17.113

6 Does Cox's theorem implicitly assumes the three classic laws of thought? 2012-04-27T08:53:16.270

6 Applying Bayes' theorem to Sleeping Beauty 2013-02-21T17:26:35.100

6 What is the difference between a probability and a possibility? 2015-09-30T14:45:51.620

6 Bayesian statistics versus inductive skepticism 2015-11-03T08:46:54.313

6 Is there a name for the fallacy: 1/100 chance == 100 times guaranteed success? 2018-10-28T14:59:28.273

5 Can playing lotteries be rational? 2012-09-28T20:47:24.517

5 When is it not possible to assign a probability? 2015-09-19T18:15:36.630

5 Does the propensity interpretation of probability rely on the principle of indifference? 2018-03-27T15:26:40.930

5 Is the criterium of admissibility a valid requirement for probability interpretations? 2018-05-22T11:21:56.107

5 What is Quine's perspective on probability? 2018-09-23T15:01:07.750

4 Almost Sure Mind Transfer via Parfit's Identity Theory (interesting thought experiment) 2013-10-22T20:25:47.703

4 Can encrypted information be sent back in time while avoiding the Unproven Theorem Paradox? 2013-11-10T19:56:56.877

4 Questioning determinism (example) 2018-06-24T09:43:33.603

4 Question about the "catch-all" hypothesis as a response to the "bad lot" objection 2018-10-22T17:42:33.857

4 How valid is assignment of probabilites when evidence is totally lacking, as in Pascal's Wager? 2019-07-26T02:08:39.630

4 What is unique about the quantum state of superposition? 2020-08-10T14:43:06.733

4 Is probability in classical physics always bayesian? 2020-08-24T09:12:56.867

4 Is defining the concept of Probability still an open problem in the Philosophy of Science? 2020-09-09T09:21:45.433

3 Did something improbable happen when I became conscious? 2012-10-24T10:25:02.397

3 Is philosophical (total) skepticism compatible with the modern scientific world view? 2014-08-02T21:08:29.157

3 What does it mean to "conditionalize a probability distrubition"? 2014-10-09T18:42:41.450

3 Why is probability used to make decisions? 2016-04-16T05:10:09.360

3 Probability and logic 2016-05-18T21:33:25.153

3 Is there a name for the following gambling fallacy? 2016-05-30T14:41:18.393

3 Emergent Complexity In Probability Distributions 2017-01-15T20:29:14.933

3 What is the name of this logical fallacy involving probabilities of two unrelated events? 2017-06-01T19:38:50.187

3 Does Probability come before Scientific Method? 2017-06-23T21:36:06.020

3 Can there only be one success in an infinite amount of trials? 2017-07-25T22:31:11.930

3 What defines "lack of evidence" and is it irrational to believe in something without evidence? 2017-10-02T18:15:46.590

3 Are there probability distributions that are analytically derived? 2017-11-08T08:03:43.570

3 Are more parsimonious theories harder to falsify? 2017-11-08T17:12:30.213

3 Is the "measurement problem" really about Quantum Mechanics? 2018-02-16T12:50:54.730

3 Is it a problem for Frequentism that infinite sequences do not exist? 2018-03-31T12:39:47.080

3 Please explain Good's solution to why we should make new observations 2018-06-15T00:42:28.223

3 Observing a zero probability event 2018-08-06T04:02:36.277

3 What is frequentism? 2018-10-05T09:53:53.803

3 If our world is mathematical، Does not this increase the probability of being complex as well? 2018-11-11T18:51:05.890

3 Is it possible to enumerate metaphysical hypotheses? 2019-06-15T15:48:57.570

3 How could Occam's razor possibly be used metaphysically? 2019-06-19T20:35:04.487

3 Question about conditionalization and probability 2019-12-16T21:15:27.180

3 Logical fallacy: Person argues with wrong probability of event, without considering similar events 2020-02-03T17:20:45.143

3 Logical Interpretations of Probability 2020-08-23T03:58:42.037

2 To what extent did belief in monotheism play a role in the development of modern probability theory? 2012-08-19T11:22:14.743

2 How much can investigating three nested systems help interpreting probabilistic theories? 2014-10-06T00:40:03.800

2 Does anyone know of any essays on Adam's Thesis and Deontic Conditionals? 2014-10-15T13:30:46.477

2 Thinking that all individuals pursue "selfish" interest is equivalent to assuming that all random variables have zero covariance 2015-09-11T18:17:41.003

2 Wondering about Probabilities 2015-11-04T21:01:01.237

2 How does it make sense to infer the existence of a group from a sequence of events? 2015-12-14T19:02:44.420

2 Is there a middle ground between determinism and libertarianism? 2016-08-16T00:51:04.260

2 How do you prove probability? 2017-06-02T15:41:41.773

2 Is 'interpretation' in quantum mechanics the same as 'interpretation' in probability? 2017-06-05T06:00:05.547

2 How do you have to rate the probability of an existential claim? 2017-07-21T03:40:09.557

2 Is getting 100 Heads in a row from a fair coin a miracle or not? 2017-11-22T05:21:31.993

2 Frequentist notion of probability 2018-03-10T14:29:55.953

2 Drawing from a box that contains all the Natural numbers 2018-08-09T20:53:26.143

2 Philosophical way to look at classical interpretation of probability 2018-10-31T14:03:20.607

2 Probability calculus and Quantum Mechanics 2019-04-21T16:25:53.843

2 If time is emergent, how can time exist in a Christian heaven? 2019-07-14T18:00:04.477

2 How does one argue for the rationality of assigning subjective probabilities in the context of Pascal’s Wager? 2019-08-09T18:17:41.083

2 What is the justification for the claim that observing something that is both a raven and black increases the likelihood that all ravens are black? 2019-10-08T14:43:59.607

2 Is this general argument against immortality valid? 2019-12-02T22:51:09.940

2 Bayesian reasoning regarding perceived unlikely outcomes 2020-04-11T05:35:06.697

2 How would a monistic approach account for these categories of probabilities? 2020-09-07T18:07:02.297

2 How does Consequentialism handle uncertainty? 2020-09-12T01:59:47.023

1 Plagiarism problem 2014-06-13T14:16:28.033

1 Is it justified to assess the probability of a claim if the claim is unverifiable or do we have to say the probability is inconclusive? 2015-03-05T01:25:14.697

1 Probability question 2015-11-03T19:45:49.750

1 How does Bernoulli's theorem make an inference from chance to frequencies and not vice versa? 2016-01-04T13:10:50.487

1 Do premises in modus tollendo tollens arguments require greater certainty than others? 2016-06-04T02:42:40.390

1 Is it a fallacy to argue that if something is much much more likely to occur then it is in fact the case? 2017-03-14T19:40:18.107

1 Time dynamics of probability (from a game theoretic point of view) 2017-04-12T09:42:09.873

1 Philosophical implications of central limit theorem (CLT) 2017-05-25T10:31:59.937

1 Is this a valid argument (using probability and uncertainties)? 2017-11-04T08:53:39.077

1 Is it certain that aliens exist in an infinite universe? 2017-12-02T02:12:45.697

1 Probabilistic(random) within a bound deterministic region? 2017-12-08T18:32:27.840

1 Updating Credences in the case of prolonged lack of evidence that confirms the belief 2018-01-09T23:10:11.037

1 Being transcendental and contingency of constants of nature 2018-01-19T08:13:47.260

1 In a Many Worlds scenario, where everything is possible, what is the point of choice? 2018-02-16T15:48:51.263

1 Probabilty of a coin head on nth toss after a few coind head tosses? 2018-07-07T23:12:33.400

1 Combining causal and identity relations 2018-09-02T06:43:05.710

1 Why cannot the following theory be refuted by logic but is rejected because of lack of empirical support? 2018-09-11T08:57:26.613

1 Is it problematic to use indeterministic models for deterministic processes 2018-09-11T15:23:12.660

1 Would Popper have argued that a coin toss is indeterministic? 2018-11-03T10:17:34.643

1 What is the relation between the propensity interpretation of probability and probability in physics? 2018-12-17T21:31:33.997

1 What's the difference between XY=F and XY=0 in Jeffrey's Logic of Decision? 2018-12-26T14:47:03.223

1 Finding desirabilities and probabilities in Jeffrey's Logic of Decision 2019-01-10T13:14:05.697

1 Can we infer the rarity of sapience in the universe by looking at the rarity of the universe itself? 2019-01-15T15:54:08.673

1 About the advantages of the propensity perspective on probability 2019-01-28T12:28:46.637