Opinion polling for the United Kingdom general election, 2017

In the run-up to the general election on 8 June 2017, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

The date range for these opinion polls is from after the previous general election, held on 7 May 2015, to immediately before 8 June 2017. Under fixed-term legislation, the next general election was scheduled to be held on 7 May 2020. However, on 18 April 2017, Prime Minister Theresa May said that she would seek to bring forward the general election to Thursday 8 June 2017, which the House of Commons approved on 19 April. For an early election to be held, two-thirds of the total membership of the House had to support the resolution. The Conservative Party went into the election defending its overall majority won in 2015 with the Labour Party as the leading opposition party both in terms of polling numbers and seats.

Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain, as Northern Ireland seats are contested by a different set of political parties. Most YouGov polls include the Scottish National Party and Plaid Cymru as single options. The English and Welsh, Scottish, and Northern Irish Green Parties are also treated as a single option by most polls.

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order.[1] The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The "Lead" column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. If there is a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. Poll results are generally rounded to the nearest percentage point (where a result is less than 0.5%, but more than zero, it is indicated by '*'). Percentages may not add to 100%, due to rounding. Data for all polls listed was obtained online, with the exception of Ipsos MORI and Survation, who obtained their data both online and by telephone.

The poll results shown are the 'headline' figures, those published or broadcast in the mainstream media. Polling organisations obtain raw data from respondents and subsequently adjust or 'weight' this according to their projections of turnout and voting on election day based on, for example, age and party preference. Each polling organisation weights its raw data differently.

The six parties with the largest numbers of votes in the 2015 general election are listed here. Other parties are included in the "Others" column.

  Conservative Party (Con)
  Labour Party (Lab)
  UK Independence Party (UKIP)
  Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem)
  Scottish National Party (SNP) — Scotland only

2017

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem SNP Green Others Lead
8 JuneGeneral Election results (GB only) [2]43.5%41.0%1.9%7.6%3.1%1.7%1.2%2.5%
6–7 Jun Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,291 44% 36% 4% 7% 5% 2% 2% 8%
6–7 Jun BMG/The Herald 1,199 46% 33% 5% 8% 4% 3% 2% 13%
6–7 Jun Survation 2,798 41% 40% 2% 8% 4% 2% 2% 1%
6–7 Jun ICM/The Guardian 1,532 46% 34% 5% 7% 5% 2% 1% 12%
5–7 Jun YouGov/The Times 2,130 42% 35% 5% 10% 5%[lower-alpha 1] 2% 1% 7%
5–7 Jun ComRes/Independent 2,051 44% 34% 5% 9% 4% 2% 1% 10%
4–7 Jun Qriously/Wired 2,213 39% 41% 4% 6% 3% 7% 2%
2–7 Jun Panelbase 3,018 44% 36% 5% 7% 4% 2% 2% 8%
1–7 Jun Kantar Public 2,159 43% 38% 4% 7% 4% 2% 2% 5%
4–6 Jun SurveyMonkey/The Sun 11,000 42% 38% 4% 6% 3% 2% 5% 4%
4–6 Jun Opinium 3,002 43% 36% 5% 8% 5% 2% 1% 7%
2–4 Jun ICM/The Guardian 2,000 45% 34% 5% 8% 4% 3% 1% 11%
3 JunLondon terror attack, national campaigning partially suspended on 4 June[3]
3 Jun Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,049 40% 39% 5% 8% 4% 5% 1%
2–3 Jun Survation/Good Morning Britain[lower-alpha 2] 1,103 41% 40% 3% 6% 4% 1% 4% 1%
1–2 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 1,989 42% 38% 4% 9% 4%[lower-alpha 1] 2% 0% 4%
31 May–2 Jun ICM/The Sun on Sunday 2,051 45% 34% 5% 9% 4% 3% 1% 11%
31 May–2 Jun ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,038 47% 35% 4% 8% 3% 1% 1% 12%
31 May–1 Jun Norstat 1,013 39% 35% 6% 8% * 3% 9% 4%
31 May–1 Jun ORB/Telegraph 1,656 45% 36% 4% 8% 7% 9%
30 May–1 Jun Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard[lower-alpha 2] 1,046 45% 40% 2% 7% 3%[lower-alpha 1] 2% 1% 5%
26 May–1 Jun Panelbase 1,224 44% 36% 5% 7% 5% 2% 1% 8%
30–31 May Opinium/Observer 2,006 43% 37% 5% 6% 5% 2% 1% 6%
30–31 May YouGov/The Times 1,875 42% 39% 4% 7% 4%[lower-alpha 1] 2% 1% 3%
Pre-31 May SurveyMonkey/The Sun 19,000 44% 38% 4% 6% 7% 6%
25–30 May Kantar Public 1,199 43% 33% 4% 11% 4% 3% 1% 10%
26–29 May ICM/The Guardian 2,002 45% 33% 5% 8% 4% 3% 2% 12%
26–29 May Qriously 1,153 43% 39% 5% 6% 3% 2% 3% 4%
26–27 May Survation/Good Morning Britain[lower-alpha 2] 1,009 43% 37% 4% 8% 2% 1% 4% 6%
25–26 May YouGov/Sunday Times 2,003 43% 36% 4% 9% 4%[lower-alpha 1] 2% 1% 7%
24–26 May ICM/The Sun on Sunday 2,044 46% 32% 5% 8% 4% 2% 1% 14%
24–26 May ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,024 46% 34% 5% 8% 4% 2% 1% 12%
24–25 May ORB/Sunday Telegraph 1,556 44% 38% 5% 7% 4% 2% 6%
24–25 May SurveyMonkey/The Sun 6,000 44% 36% 4% 6% 9% 8%
24–25 May YouGov/The Times 2,052 43% 38% 4% 10% 5%[lower-alpha 1] 1% 0% 5%
23–24 May Opinium/Observer 2,002 45% 35% 5% 7% 5% 2% 1% 10%
19–23 May Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,019 48% 33% 4% 7% 5% 2% 1% 15%
22 MayManchester Arena bombing, national campaigning suspended 23–24 May
18–22 May Kantar Public 1,200 42% 34% 4% 9% 4% 4% 2% 8%
19–21 May ICM/The Guardian 2,004 47% 33% 4% 9% 4% 2% 1% 14%
19–20 May Survation/Good Morning Britain[lower-alpha 2] 1,034 43% 34% 4% 8% 3% 2% 5% 9%
19–20 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,017 46% 34% 3% 8% 4% 1% 3% 12%
18–19 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,925 44% 35% 3% 9% 5%[lower-alpha 1] 2% 1% 9%
17–18 May ORB/Sunday Telegraph 1,551 46% 34% 7% 7% 4% 2% 12%
16–17 May Opinium/Observer 2,003 46% 33% 5% 8% 5% 2% 1% 13%
16–17 May YouGov/The Times 1,861 45% 32% 6% 8% 5% 2% 1% 13%
15–17 May Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,053 49% 34% 2% 7% 6% 3% * 15%
12–15 May Panelbase 1,026 47% 33% 5% 7% 5% 3% * 14%
11–15 May Kantar Public 1,201 47% 29% 6% 8% 4% 4% 2% 18%
12–14 May ICM/The Guardian 2,030 48% 28% 6% 10% 4% 3% 1% 20%
3–14 May GfK/Business Insider 1,952 48% 28% 5% 7% 6% 3% 2% 20%
12–13 May Survation/Good Morning Britain 1,016 48% 30% 4% 8% 4% 2% 4% 18%
11–12 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,630 49% 31% 3% 9% 5%[lower-alpha 1] 2% 1% 18%
10–12 May ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,007 48% 30% 5% 10% 4% 3% 1% 18%
9–12 May Opinium/Observer 2,003 47% 32% 5% 8% 5% 2% 1% 15%
10–11 May ORB/Sunday Telegraph 1,508 46% 32% 6% 8% 5% 4% 14%
9–10 May YouGov/The Times 1,651 46% 30% 5% 11% 6%[lower-alpha 1] 2% 1% 16%
5–9 May Panelbase 1,027 48% 31% 5% 8% 4% 2% 2% 17%
4–8 May Kantar Public 1,201 44% 28% 8% 11% 4% 5% 1% 16%
5–7 May ICM/The Guardian 2,038 49% 27% 6% 9% 4% 3% 1% 22%
5–6 May Survation/Good Morning Britain 1,005 47% 30% 4% 7% 5% 3% 3% 17%
4–5 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,644 47% 28% 6% 11% 5%[lower-alpha 1] 2% 1% 19%
3–5 May ICM/Sun on Sunday 2,020 46% 28% 8% 10% 4% 4% * 18%
4 May United Kingdom local and mayoral elections
3–4 May ORB/Sunday Telegraph 1,550 46% 31% 8% 9% 3% 3% 15%
2–3 May Opinium/Observer 2,005 46% 30% 7% 9% 4% 2% 1% 16%
2–3 May YouGov/The Times 2,066 48% 29% 5% 10% 5%[lower-alpha 1] 2% 1% 19%
28 Apr–2 May Panelbase 1,034 47% 30% 5% 10% 5% 2% 1% 17%
28 Apr–2 May ICM/The Guardian 1,970 47% 28% 8% 8% 3% 4% 1% 19%
28 Apr–1 May Qriously 1,240 44% 28% 8% 9% 3% 4% 4% 15%
27 Apr–2 May Kantar Public 1,205 48% 24% 7% 11% 4% 4% 2% 24%
27–28 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,612 44% 31% 6% 11% 4%[lower-alpha 1] 2% 2% 13%
26–28 Apr ICM/Sun on Sunday 2,012 47% 28% 8% 9% 4% 4% * 19%
25–28 Apr Opinium/Observer 2,007 47% 30% 7% 8% 5% 3% 1% 17%
26–27 Apr ORB/Sunday Telegraph 2,093 42% 31% 8% 10% 4% 4% 11%
25–26 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,590 45% 29% 7% 10% 5%[lower-alpha 1] 3% 1% 16%
21–25 Apr Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,004 49% 26% 4% 13% 4% 1% 4% 23%
21–24 Apr ICM/The Guardian 2,024 48% 27% 7% 10% 4% 3% 1% 21%
20–24 Apr Panelbase 1,026 49% 27% 5% 10% 5% 3% 1% 22%
20–24 Apr Kantar Public 1,196 46% 24% 8% 11% 5% 4% 1% 22%
Pre-23 Apr Norstat/Sunday Express 1,036 42% 26% 8% 10% * 6% 8% 16%
21–22 Apr Survation/Mail on Sunday 2,072 40% 29% 11% 11% 4% 2% 3% 11%
20–21 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,590 48% 25% 5% 12% 6%[lower-alpha 1] 3% 1% 23%
19–21 Apr ICM/ITV 2,027 48% 26% 8% 10% 4% 3% 2% 22%
19–20 Apr ORB/Daily Telegraph 1,860 44% 29% 10% 8% 5% 4% 15%
19–20 Apr ComRes/Sunday Mirror 2,074 50% 25% 7% 11% 4% 3% 1% 25%
19–20 Apr Opinium/Observer 2,003 45% 26% 9% 11% 4% 3% 1% 19%
2–20 Apr YouGov 12,746 44% 25% 9% 12% 6%[lower-alpha 1] 3% 1% 19%
18–19 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,727 48% 24% 7% 12% 6%[lower-alpha 1] 2% 1% 24%
18 Apr ICM/The Guardian 1,000 46% 25% 8% 11% 4% 4% 1% 21%
18 Apr Prime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a general election to be held on 8 June 2017
14–17 Apr ICM/The Guardian 2,052 44% 26% 11% 10% 4% 4% 1% 18%
12–13 Apr YouGov/The Times 2,069 44% 23% 10% 12% 6%[lower-alpha 1] 4% 1% 21%
11–13 Apr ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,026 46% 25% 9% 11% 4% 4% 2% 21%
11–13 Apr Opinium/Observer 2,002 38% 29% 14% 7% 5% 5% 1% 9%
5–6 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,651 42% 25% 11% 11% 8%[lower-alpha 1] 3% 1% 17%
31 Mar–2 Apr ICM/The Guardian 2,005 43% 25% 11% 11% 5% 4% 2% 18%
26–27 Mar YouGov/The Times 1,957 43% 25% 10% 11% 6%[lower-alpha 1] 3% 1% 18%
20–21 Mar YouGov/The Times 1,627 41% 25% 12% 11% 6%[lower-alpha 1] 3% 2% 16%
17–19 MarICM/The Guardian 2,01245%26%10%9%4%4%1%19%
15–17 Mar ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,026 42% 25% 10% 12% 5% 4% 2% 17%
14–17 Mar Opinium/Observer 2,007 41% 28% 13% 8% 6% 3% 1% 13%
1–15 Mar GfK 1,938 41% 28% 12% 7% 5% 6% 1% 13%
13–14 Mar YouGov/The Times 1,631 44% 27% 9% 10% 5%[lower-alpha 1] 4% 0% 17%
10–14 Mar Ipsos MORI 1,032 43% 30% 6% 13% 4% 4% * 13%
8–9 Mar YouGov/The Times 1,598 44% 25% 11% 10% 6%[lower-alpha 1] 3% 1% 19%
3–5 Mar ICM/The Guardian 1,787 44% 28% 11% 8% 4% 5% 1% 16%
27–28 Feb YouGov/The Times 1,666 42% 25% 12% 11% 6%[lower-alpha 1] 4% 1% 17%
23 Feb By-elections in Stoke-on-Trent Central and Copeland
21–22 Feb YouGov/The Times 2,060 41% 25% 13% 11% 6%[lower-alpha 1] 3% 1% 16%
17–19 Feb ICM/The Guardian 2,02844%26%13%8%4%4%1%18%
14–16 Feb Opinium/Observer 2,00440%27%14%8%5%4%2%13%
10–14 Feb Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,014 40% 29% 9% 13% 5% 4% 0% 11%
12–13 Feb YouGov/The Times 2,052 40% 24% 15% 11% 6%[lower-alpha 1] 4% 2% 16%
8–10 Feb ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 1,218 41% 26% 11% 11% 5% 4% 2% 15%
5–6 Feb YouGov/The Times 1,98440%24%14%11%6%[lower-alpha 1]4%1%16%
3–5 Feb ICM/The Guardian 1,98442%27%12%10%5%4%1%15%
31 Jan–1 Feb Opinium/Observer 2,00537%30%14%8%5%5%2%7%
30–31 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,70540%26%12%11%6%[lower-alpha 1]4%1%14%
23–24 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,64340%24%14%10%6%[lower-alpha 1]3%0%16%
20–22 Jan ICM/The Guardian 2,05242%26%13%10%4%5%1%16%
17–18 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,65442%25%12%11%6%[lower-alpha 1]3%0%17%
13–16 Jan Ipsos MORI 1,13243%31%6%11%4%4%*12%
13 JanSurvation/Mail on Sunday 1,17738%29%13%10%4%2%4%9%
10–12 JanOpinium/Observer 2,00738%30%14%7%5%4%2%8%
9–10 JanYouGov/The Times 1,66039%28%13%11%6%[lower-alpha 1]3%1%11%
6–8 JanICM/The Guardian 2,00042%28%12%9%4%4%*14%
3–4 JanYouGov/The Times 1,74039%26%14%10%6%[lower-alpha 1]4%1%13%

2016

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem SNP Green Others Lead
18–19 DecYouGov/The Times 1,59539%24%14%12%6%[lower-alpha 1]4%1%15%
13–16 DecOpinium/Observer 2,00038%31%13%6% 6%4%1%7%
9–12 DecIpsos MORI 1,00340%29%9%14%4%3%1%11%
9–11 DecICM/The Guardian 2,04941%27%14%9%4%3%1%14%
8 Dec Sleaford and North Hykeham by-election
4–5 DecYouGov/The Times 1,66742%25%12%11%6%[lower-alpha 1]4%1%17%
1 Dec Richmond Park by-election
28–29 NovYouGov/The Times 1,62439%27%14%9%6%[lower-alpha 1]4%1%12%
28 NovPaul Nuttall is elected as the leader of UKIP
25–27 NovICM/The Guardian 2,00944%28%12%7%4%4%2%16%
21–22 NovYouGov/The Times 1,69341%28%12%9%6%[lower-alpha 1]4%0%13%
18–20 NovICM/The Guardian 2,03142%28%11%9%4%3%2%14%
15–18 NovOpinium 2,00541%29%12%7%6%3%1%12%
14–15 NovYouGov/The Times1,71742%28%11%8%7%[lower-alpha 1]4%1%14%
11–14 Nov Ipsos MORI 1,01342%33%7%10%5%[lower-alpha 1]3%1%9%
1–4 Nov Opinium 2,00140%32%13%6%6%4%8%
31 Oct–1 NovYouGov/The Times1,60841%27%11%10%6%[lower-alpha 1]4%1%14%
28–30 Oct ICM/The Guardian 2,04043%27%12%8%4%5%1%16%
24–25 OctYouGov/The Times1,65540%27%11%11%7%[lower-alpha 1]3%1%13%
19–24 OctBMG1,54642%28%12% 8%5%4%1%14%
20 Oct By-elections in Witney and Batley & Spen
19–20 OctYouGov/Election Data1,60842%26%12%8%6%[lower-alpha 1]5%1%16%
14–17 OctIpsos MORI1,01647%29%6%7%6%[lower-alpha 1]4%1%18%
11–12 OctYouGov/The Times1,66942%28%11%9%6%[lower-alpha 1]3%0%14%
7–9 Oct ICM/The Guardian 2,01743%26%11%8%4%6%2%17%
28–29 Sep YouGov/The Times1,65839%30%13%8%6%[lower-alpha 1]3%0%9%
24 SepJeremy Corbyn is re-elected as the Leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition
21–23 SepICM/Sun on Sunday 2,01541%26%14%8%5%4%2%15%
20–23 SepBMG 2,02639%28%13%8%5%5%2%11%
19–21 SepYouGov/The Times 3,28539%30%13%8%6%[lower-alpha 1]3%1%9%
16 SepDiane James is elected the leader of UKIP
13–14 Sep YouGov/The Times 1,73238%31%13%7%6%4%7%
10–14 Sep Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,00040%34%9%6%4%[lower-alpha 1]5%1%6%
9–11 Sep ICM/The Guardian 2,01341%27%14%8%5%4%2%14%
4–5 Sep YouGov/The Times 1,61640%29%13%7%7%[lower-alpha 1]3%11%
2 SepCaroline Lucas and Jonathan Bartley are elected joint leaders of the Green Party
30–31 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,68738%30%14%7%6%[lower-alpha 1]4%8%
26–28 Aug ICM/The Guardian 2,04041%27%13%9%4%4%2%14%
22–23 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,66040%29%13%8%6%[lower-alpha 1]3%1%11%
11–22 Aug Lord Ashcroft Polls 8,01140%31%13%7%5%3%1%9%
16–17 Aug YouGov/The Times1,67738%30%13%9%7%[lower-alpha 1]4%8%
13–15 Aug Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard1,01745%34%6%7%4%4%1% 11%
12–15 Aug ICM2,01040%28%14%8%4%4%2%12%
8–9 Aug YouGov/The Times1,69238%31%13%8%7%[lower-alpha 1]4%7%
5–8 Aug TNS1,19939%26%11%10%4%7%2%13%
1–2 Aug YouGov/The Times1,72242%28%12%8%6%[lower-alpha 1]3%1%14%
25–26 Jul YouGov/The Times1,68040%28%13%8%7%[lower-alpha 1]4%1%12%
22–24 Jul ICM2,01243%27%13%8%4%4%1%16%
19–22 Jul Opinium/Observer2,23137%31%15%6%6%4%1%6%
17–18 Jul YouGov1,89140%29%12%9%7%[lower-alpha 1]3%1%11%
13–15 Jul ICM2,02739%29%14%9%4%4%2%10%
13 JulTheresa May becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
9–11 Jul Ipsos MORI1,02136%35%8%11%5%4%1%1%
8–10 Jul ICM2,02538%30%15%8%5%4%1%8%
4–5 Jul Survation/Constitutional Research Council1,00836%32%12%9%6%7%4%
1–3 Jul ICM1,97937%30%15%8%5%4%2%7%
28–30 Jun Opinium2,00634%29%17%7%5%4%2%5%
24–26 Jun ICM/The Guardian2,00136%32%15%7%5%5%1%4%
24–25 Jun Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,033 32% 32% 16% 9% 4% 4% 2% Tie
23 JunUK European Union membership referendum: 52% of voters vote in favour of leaving EU; David Cameron announces he will resign as Prime Minister
20–22 JunOpinium3,01134%30%19%6%6%4%2%4%
14–17 JunOpinium/Observer2,00634%30%18%6%6%4%1%4%
16 JunTooting by-election; killing of MP Jo Cox, leading to a suspension of referendum campaigning until 19 June
15–16 JunComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,04634%29%19%8%5%4%2%5%
11–14 JunIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,25735%34%10%9%5%4%3%1%
10–13 JunICM/The Guardian2,00134%30%19%8%4%4%1%4%
10–13 JunICM/The Guardian1,00034%33%14%9%4%5%2%1%
7–10 JunOpinium/Observer2,00935%32%18%4%5%4%1%3%
31 May–3 JunOpinium/Observer 2,00734%30%18%6%6%4%2%4%
27–29 MayICM/The Guardian 2,05236%31%17%7%4%4%2%5%
27–29 MayICM/The Guardian 1,00436%32%15%7%4%3%2%4%
17–19 MayOpinium/Observer2,00835%30%18%5%6%5%2%5%
14–16 MayIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00236%34%10%8%5%5%2%2%
13–15 MayICM/The Guardian1,00236%34%13%7%4%4%2%2%
13–15 MayICM/The Guardian2,04834%32%17%7%5%4%1%2%
11–12 MayComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,04336%30%17%8%5%4%6%
5 MayUnited Kingdom local elections, 2016 including the Ogmore and Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough by-elections
26–29 AprOpinium/Observer2,00538%30%15%5%5%5%2%8%
25–26 AprYouGov/The Times1,65030%33%20%6%8%[lower-alpha 1]3%3%
22–26 AprBMG Research1,37533%32%18%6%5%4%2%1%
16–18 AprIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,02638%35%11%6%6%3%1%3%
15–17 AprICM/The Guardian1,00338%33%13%7%5%3%1%5%
15–17 AprICM/The Guardian2,00836%31%16%7%4%4%2%5%
13–14 AprComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,03635%30%16%8%5%4%1%5%
11–12 AprYouGov/The Times1,63931%34%17%8%7%[lower-alpha 1]3%3%
29 Mar–1 AprOpinium/Observer1,96633%32%17%5%6%4%2%1%
24–29 MarBMG Research1,29836%31%16%7%5%5%2%5%
19–22 MarIpsos MORI1,02336%34%11%10%5%3%2%2%
18–20 MarComRes/Daily Mail1,00237%35%9%7%5%4%2%2%
16–17 MarYouGov/The Times1,69133%34%16%6%6%[lower-alpha 1]3%2%1%
11–13 MarICM/The Guardian1,00136%36%11%8%3%3%1%Tie
9–10 MarComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,05938%29%16%7%4%4%1%9%
21–23 FebYouGov/The Times3,48237%30%16%8%6%[lower-alpha 1]3%7%
17–23 FebBMG Research1,26838%30%16%5%5%5%2%8%
19–22 FebComRes/Daily Mail1,00038%31%12%8%4%3%3%7%
13–16 FebIpsos MORI1,00139%33%12%6%6%3%2%6%
12–14 FebICM/The Guardian1,00439%32%11%7%4%4%3%7%
10–12 FebComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,01841%27%15%9%5%3%1%14%
3–4 FebYouGov/The Times1,67539%29%18%6%4%[lower-alpha 1]3%1%10%
27–28 JanYouGov1,73539%30%17%6%4%[lower-alpha 1]3%1%9%
23–25 JanIpsos MORI1,02740%31%11%7%5%4%1%9%
22–24 JanComRes/Daily Mail 1,00637%32%12%6%4%4%4%5%
15–17 JanICM/The Guardian1,00140%35%10%6%4%3%2%5%
15–16 JanSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,01737%30%16%7%5%3%3%7%
13–15 JanComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday2,00440%29%16%7%4%3%1%11%
8–14 JanPanelbase/Sunday Times2,08739%31%14%6%5%5%8%

2015

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem SNP Green Others Lead
18–20 DecICM/The Guardian1,00339%34%10%7%4%3%3%5%
17–18 DecYouGov/The Times1,59839%29%17%6%5%[lower-alpha 1]3%1%10%
15–18 DecOpinium/Observer1,93638%30%16%5%6%5%2%8%
12–14 DecIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,04038%31%9%9%5%6%2%7%
11–13 DecComRes/Daily Mail1,00137%33%11%7%4%5%2%4%
9–11 DecComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror2,04940%29%16%7%4%3%1%11%
3 DecOldham West and Royton by-election
30 Nov–1 DecYouGov/The Times1,65741%30%16%6%4%[lower-alpha 1]3%1%11%
20–24 NovYouGov4,31738%29%17%6%5%[lower-alpha 1]3%1%9%
20–22 NovComRes/Daily Mail1,00040%29%11%8%4%3%4%11%
18–20 NovComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror2,06742%27%15%7%5%3%1%15%
16–17 NovSurvation/Leave.EU[lower-alpha 3]1,54637%30%16%6%5%3%3%7%
14–17 NovIpsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,02141%34%7%7%6%4%-7%
11–17 NovBMG Research 1,33437%30%15%7%4%4%2%7%
13–15 NovICM/The Guardian 1,00639%33%12%7%5%3%1%6%
9–11 NovSurvation/Leave.EU[lower-alpha 3]2,00736%30%15%7%5%3%3%6%
22–27 OctBMG Research1,46737%31%15%6%4%5%2%6%
23–25 OctComRes/Daily Mail1,00238%33%10%8%3%3%4%5%
17–19 OctIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,02136%32%12%10%5%3%2%4%
13–16 OctOpinium1,93437%32%15%5%6%4%2%5%
14–15 OctComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror2,05142%29%13%7%5%3%1%13%
9–11 OctICM/The Guardian1,00238%34%11%7%5%3%3%4%
29–30 SepYouGov/The Sun2,06437%31%17%7%5%[lower-alpha 1]2%1%6%
26–28 SepComRes/Daily Mail1,00939%30%12%9%4%4%3%9%
21–22 SepSurvation/Huffington Post1,00837%32%13%9%5%3%1%5%
19–22 SepIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,25539%34%7%9%5%4%1%5%
17–18 SepYouGov/Sunday Times1,60139%31%16%6%5%[lower-alpha 1]3%1%8%
15–18 SepOpinium1,94237%32%14%6%5%4%1%5%
16–17 SepComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror2,01542%30%13%7%5%3%1%12%
11–13 SepICM/The Guardian1,00638%32%13%8%5%3%2%6%
12 SepJeremy Corbyn is elected leader of the Labour Party and appointed Leader of the Opposition
3–4 SepSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00438%32%13%6%5%4%2%6%
21–23 AugComRes/Daily Mail1,00142%28%9%8%5%6%3%14%
12–13 AugComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror2,03540%29%13%8%5%4%1%11%
12–13 AugSurvation/TSSA1,00738%33%15%6%5%3%1%5%
7–9 AugICM/The Guardian1,00040%31%10%7%5%4%2%9%
24–26 JulComRes/Daily Mail1,00140%28%10%7%5%5%4%12%
18–20 JulIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,02637%31%9%10%5%8%1%6%
16 JulTim Farron is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats
10–12 JulICM/The Guardian1,00538%34%13%6%4%4%1%4%
26–28 JunComRes/Daily Mail1,00239%27%11%9%5%6%3%12%
14–16 JunIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00539%30%8%9%5%6%2%9%
12–14 JunICM/The Guardian1,00437%31%13%8%5%5%1%6%
29–31 MayComRes/Daily Mail1,00041%29%10%8%5%5%3%12%
25–26 MayYouGov/The Sun1,70941%30%13%7%4%[lower-alpha 1]4%1%11%
8–9 MaySurvation/Mail on Sunday1,02740%31%12%6%5%3%2%9%
7 MayGeneral Election results (GB only)[4][5]37.8%31.2%12.9%8.1%4.9%3.8%1.4%6.6%

YouGov model

During the election campaign, YouGov created a Multi-level Regression and Post-stratification (MRP) model based on poll data. As set out by YouGov, the model "works by modelling every constituency and key voter types in Britain based on analysis of key demographics as well as past voting behaviour", with new interviews to registered voters conducted every day.[6]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem SNP Green Others Lead
8 JuneGeneral Election results (GB only) [7]43.5%41.0%1.9%7.6%3.1%1.7%1.2%2.5%
31 May–6 Jun YouGov 55,707 42% 38% 3% 9% 4% 2% 1% 4%
30 May–5 Jun YouGov 53,241 42% 38% 4% 9% 4% 2% 1% 4%
29 May–4 Jun YouGov 53,609 42% 38% 3% 9% 4% 2% 2% 4%
27 May–2 Jun YouGov 51,945 42% 38% 3% 9% 4% 2% 2% 4%
26 May–1 Jun YouGov 53,000 42% 38% 3% 9% 4% 2% 1% 4%
25–31 May YouGov 53,611 42% 38% 3% 9% 4% 2% 2% 4%
24–30 May YouGov 53,464 41% 38% 4% 9% 4% 2% 2% 3%
23–29 May YouGov ~50,000 42% 38% 4% 9% 7% 4%

UK-wide seat projections

The UK's first-past-the-post electoral system means that national shares of the vote do not give an exact indicator of how the various parties will be represented in Parliament. Different commentators and pollsters provided a number of predictions, based on polls and other data, as to how the parties would be represented in Parliament:

Parties 2015
election
result
Election
Forecast[8]
as of 7 June 2017
Electoral
Calculus[9]
as of 7 June 2017
Lord
Ashcroft[10]
as of 6 June 2017[11]
Elections
Etc.[12]
as of 2 June 2017
New
Statesman[13]
as of 6 June 2017
YouGov[14]
as of 7 June 2017
Britain Elects[15]
as of 7 June 2017
Scenari
Politici.com[16]
as of 7 June 2017
Forecast UK[17]

as of 8 June 2017

BBC/ITV/Sky exit poll
8 June 2017
2017
election
result
Conservatives 330 371 361 357 360 339 302 353 365 344-351 314 318
Labour Party 232 199 215 222 210 224 269 219 208 221-230 266 262
SNP 56 50 48 45 48 57 44 46 49 44-52 34 35
Liberal Democrats 8 7 4 4 9 8 12 9 6 5-7 14 12
Plaid Cymru 3 2 3 1 3 2 3 3 2-4 3 4
Green Party 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0-2 1 1
UKIP 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Others 19 1[lower-alpha 4] 18[lower-alpha 5] 19 20 19 18 19 18 18
Overall result Conservative
majority of 10
Conservative
majority of 92
Conservative
majority of 72
Conservative
majority of 64
Conservative
majority of 70
Conservative
majority of 28
Hung
Parliament

(Con 24 seats short)
Conservative
majority of 56
Conservative
majority of 84
Conservative
majority of 46
Hung
Parliament

(Con 12 seats short)
Hung
Parliament

(Con 8 seats short)

Lord Ashcroft Polls announced an estimate for the election result. He updated it at intervals on his website.[18][19]

Electoral Calculus maintained a running projection of seats according to latest polls on its website based on universal changes from the previous general election results according to opinion poll averages. It also maintained a seat-by-seat projection for Scotland.[9]

Election Forecast also maintained a projection of seats based on current opinion poll averages on their website.[8]

Elections Etc. issued regular forecasts based on current opinion poll averages, betting markets, expert predictions and other sources on their website.[12]

YouGov issued daily seat estimates using their aggregated statistical election model.[14]

Britain Elects maintained a 'nowcast' of seats based on historical data as well as national and regional polling.[15]

ScenariPolitici.com maintained a projection of seats based on current opinion poll averages on their website.[20]

Sub-national polling

Scotland

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size SNP Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
8 JuneGeneral Election results[21] 2,649,695 36.9% 27.1% 28.6% 6.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 8.3%
7 Jun 2017 Survation/The Daily Record 1,00139% 29% 26% 6% * 10%
2–7 Jun 2017 Panelbase 1,10641% 22% 30% 5% <1% 2% <1% 11%
31 May–2 Jun 2017 Survation/The Sunday Post 1,02440% 25% 27% 6% 2% 13%
1–5 Jun 2017 YouGov/The Times 1,09341% 25% 26% 6% * 1% 2% 15%
31 May–2 Jun 2017 Survation/The Sunday Post 1,02440% 25% 27% 6% 2% 13%
26–31 May 2017 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,02142% 20% 30% 5% 2% 1% 12%
22–27 May 2017 Ipsos-Mori/STV 1,01643% 25% 25% 5% 2% 18%
19–25 May 2017 SurveyMonkey/The Scottish Sun 1,97039% 25% 29% 4% 1% 2% 10%
15–18 May 2017 YouGov/The Times 1,03242% 19% 29% 6% 1% 2% 1% 13%
12–18 May 2017 BMG/The Herald over 1,00043% 18% 30% 5% 4% 13%
4 May 2017Scottish local elections, 2017
24–27 Apr 2017 YouGov/The Times 1,01741% 18% 28% 7% 2% 3% 1% 13%
18–21 Apr 2017 Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,02944% 13% 33% 5% 2% 2% 1% 11%
18–21 Apr 2017 Survation/Sunday Post 1,01843% 18% 28% 9% 3% 15%
18 Apr 2017 Prime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a general election to be held on 8 June 2017
17 Mar 2017 Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,00847% 14% 28% 4% 3% 3% <1% 19%
20–26 Jan 2017 Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,02047% 15% 27% 4% 3% 3% <1% 20%
28 Sep–4 Oct 2016 BMG 1,01049% 17% 20% 8% 2% 3% - 29%
9–15 Sep 2016 Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,024 47% 16% 24% 5% 4% 3% - 23%
13 Jul 2016Theresa May becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
5 May 2016Scottish Parliament election
7–10 Sep 2015 Survation/Scottish Daily Mail 1,010 52% 21% 16% 6% 2% 3% - 31%
15 Aug 2015Kezia Dugdale is elected leader of the Scottish Labour Party
3–7 Jul 2015 Survation/Scottish Daily Mail 1,084 51% 21% 17% 7% 2% 2% - 30%
7 May 2015 General Election results 2,910,465 50.0% 24.3% 14.9% 7.5% 1.6% 1.3% 0.3% 25.7%

Wales

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con UKIP Plaid Lib Dem Green Others Lead
8 June General Election results[22] 48.9% 33.6% 2.0% 10.4% 4.5% 0.3% 0.2% 15.3%
5–7 June 2017 YouGov/ITV 1,074 46% 34% 5% 9% 5% 1% 12%
29–31 May 2017 YouGov/ITV 1,014 46% 35% 5% 8% 5% 0% 0% 11%
18–21 May 2017 YouGov/ITV 1,025 44% 34% 5% 9% 6% 1% 1% 10%
5–7 May 2017 YouGov/ITV 1,018 35% 41% 4% 11% 7% 1% 1% 6%
4 May 2017Welsh local elections, 2017
19–21 April 2017 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,029 30% 40% 6% 13% 8% 2% 1% 10%
18 Apr Prime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a general election to be held on 8 June 2017
3–6 Jan 2017 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,034 33% 28% 13% 13% 9% 2% 0 5%
18–21 Sep 2016 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,001 35% 29% 14% 13% 7% 2% 0 6%
13 Jul 2016Theresa May becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
30 Jun–4 Jul 2016 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,010 34% 23% 16% 16% 8% 1% 2% 11%
5 May 2016Welsh Assembly election and Ogmore by-election
19–22 Apr 2016 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,001 37% 23% 17% 13% 7% 2% 1% 14%
7–11 Apr 2016 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,011 38% 22% 18% 13% 6% 2% 1% 16%
7–18 Mar 2016Welsh Election Study3,27236%25%16%14%6%N/A3%[23]11%
9–11 Feb 2016YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer1,02437%27%18%13%4%1%-10%
30 Nov–4 Dec 2015YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer1,00537%27%17%12%4%2%-10%
21–24 Sep 2015YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer1,15142%26%16%10%5%2%-16%
24–26 Jun 2015YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer1,15137%28%15%12%4%3%1%9%
7 May 2015 General Election results 36.9% 27.2% 13.6% 12.1% 6.5% 2.6% 1.0% 9.7%

Northern Ireland

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size DUP SF UUP SDLP Alliance TUV Green Others Lead
8 June General Election results[24] 36.0% 29.4% 10.3% 11.7% 7.9% 0.4% 0.9% 3.3% 6.6%
1–3 June 2017 Lucid Talk 3,419 28.9% 28.1% 15.4% 13.8% 9.9% 0.1% 0.6% 3.2% 0.8%
17–18 May 2017 Lucid Talk 3,341 28.8% 27.9% 15.7% 13.7% 9.8% 0.1% 0.7% 3.3% 0.9%
27–29 April 2017 Lucid Talk 3,187 29.4% 27.7% 14.8% 12.4% 10.2% 0.6% 1.8% 3.1% 1.7%
18 Apr 2017 Prime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a general election to be held on 8 June 2017
2 Mar 2017Northern Ireland Assembly election, 2017
5 May 2016Northern Ireland Assembly election, 2016
7 May 2015 General Election Results 25.7% 24.5% 16.0% 13.9% 8.6% 2.3% 1.0% 8.2% 1.2%

Regional polling in England

North East England

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con UKIP Lib Dem Green Others Lead
8 June 2017 2017 Election 55.5% 34.4% 3.9% 4.6% 1.3% 0.5% 21.1%
24 Apr–5 May 2017YouGov63942%40%8%6%2%0%2%
7 May 2015 2015 Election 46.9% 25.3% 16.7% 6.5% 3.6% 0.9% 21.6%

North West England

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con UKIP Lib Dem Green Others Lead
8 June 2017 2017 Election 54.9% 36.2% 1.9% 5.4% 1.1% 0.5% 18.7%
24 Apr–5 May 2017YouGov1,53742%42%6%8%2%0%Tie
23 Feb 2017 Copeland by-election
3 Dec 2015 Oldham West and Royton by-election
7 May 2015 2015 Election 44.6% 31.2% 13.6% 6.5% 3.2% 0.7% 13.4%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con UKIP Lib Dem Green Others Lead
8 June 2017 2017 Election 49.0% 40.5% 2.6% 5.0% 1.3% 1.7% 8.5%
24 Apr–5 May 2017YouGov1,29338%43%7%9%2%0%5%
20 Oct 2016 Batley and Spen by-election
5 May 2016 Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough by-election
7 May 2015 2015 Election 39.1% 32.6% 16.0% 7.1% 3.5% 1.6% 6.5%

East Midlands

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem Green Others Lead
8 June 2017 2017 Election 50.7% 40.5% 2.4% 4.3% 1.4% 0.6% 10.2%
24 Apr–5 May 2017YouGov1,16454%28%7%8%2%0%26%
8 Dec 2016 Sleaford and North Hykeham by-election
7 May 2015 2015 Election 43.5% 31.6% 15.8% 5.6% 3.0% 0.6% 11.9%

West Midlands

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem Green Others Lead
8 June 2017 2017 Election 49.0% 42.5% 1.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.6% 6.5%
24 Apr–5 May 2017YouGov1,21151%28%9%9%2%0%23%
23 Feb 2017 Stoke-on-Trent Central by-election
7 May 2015 2015 Election 41.8% 32.9% 15.7% 5.5% 3.3% 0.8% 8.9%

East of England

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem Green Others Lead
8 June 2017 2017 Election 54.6% 32.7% 2.5% 7.9% 1.9% 0.3% 21.9%
24 Apr–5 May 2017YouGov1,33956%19%9%12%2%1%37%
7 May 2015 2015 Election 49.0% 22.0% 16.2% 8.2% 3.9% 0.5% 27.0%

London

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con UKIP Lib Dem Green Others Lead
8 June 2017 2017 Election 54.5% 33.2% 1.3% 8.8% 1.8% 0.5% 21.3%
26–31 May 2017YouGov1,00050%33%3%11%2%1%17%
19–23 May 2017YouGov1,00650%34%2%11%2%1%16%
22 Apr–3 May 2017YouGov1,04041%36%6%14%3%1%5%
18 Apr 2017 Prime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a general election to be held on 8 June 2017
24–28 Mar 2017YouGov1,04237%34%9%14%5%1%3%
1 Dec 2016 Richmond Park by-election
16 Jun 2016 Tooting by-election
15–19 Apr 2016YouGov/LBC1,01746%30%13%7%4%1%16%
4–6 Jan 2016YouGov/LBC1,15644%37%11%4%2%2%7%
8 Jun–12 Aug 2015YouGov/LBC3,43642%38%9%5%4%1%4%
7 May 2015 2015 Election 43.7% 34.9% 8.1% 7.7% 4.9% 0.8% 8.8%

South East

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem Green Others Lead
8 June 2017 2017 Election 4,635,741 54.6% 28.6% 2.3% 10.5% 3.1% 1.0% 26.0%
24 Apr–5 May 2017YouGov2,06256%19%6%15%3%1%37%
20 Oct 2016 Witney by-election
7 May 2015 2015 Election 4,394,360 50.8% 18.3% 14.7% 9.4% 5.2% 1.5% 32.5%

South West

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
8 June 2017 2017 Election 51.4% 29.1% 15.0% 1.1% 2.3% 1.2% 22.3%
24 Apr–5 May 2017YouGov1,37852%22%16%6%3%1%30%
7 May 2015 2015 Election 46.5% 17.7% 15.1% 13.6% 5.9% 1.2% 28.8%

Polls of individual constituencies

Battersea

Polling was conducted in Battersea with and without a hypothetical 'Independent Stop Brexit' candidate. Chris Coghlan is standing in Battersea as an independent anti-Brexit candidate, but as his ballot description is 'independent' and not 'Stop Brexit', and he was not named in the poll, this is technically a hypothetical poll.

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem Others Lead
8 Jun 20172017 Election ResultN/A41.5%45.9%8.0%4.6%4.4%
9–10 May 2017Survation/Chris Coghlan50346%38%13%5%8%
7 May 20152015 Election ResultN/A52.4%36.8%4.4%6.4%15.6%

Brighton Pavilion

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Green Lab Con UKIP Lib Dem Others Lead
8 Jun 20172017 Election ResultN/A52.3%26.8%19.2%1.1%0.7%25.5%
27 Apr-1 May 2017ICM Unlimited1,00147%23%25%3%2%0%22%
7 May 20152015 Election Result41.8%27.3%22.8%5.0%2.8%0.4%14.6%

The Liberal Democrats are not fielding a candidate in Brighton Pavilion.

Edinburgh South

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab SNP Con Green Lib Dem Others† Lead
8 Jun 20172017 Election ResultN/A54.9%22.5%19.7%2.9%32.4%
3–4 April 2017Survation/Stop Brexit Alliance53040%30%20%7%3%1%10%
7 May 20152015 Election Result39.1%33.8%17.5%4.2%3.7%1.6%5.3%

The Scottish Greens and other political parties are not fielding candidates in Edinburgh South.

Kensington

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Others Lead
8 Jun 20172017 Election ResultN/A42.2%42.2%12.2%2.0%1.4%0.0%
25–27 Apr 2017Survation/Stop Brexit Alliance52246%29%17%7%1%0%17%
7 May 20152015 Election Result52.3%31.1%5.6%5.1%4.5%1.5%21.2%

Tatton

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem Others Lead
8 Jun 20172017 Election ResultN/A58.6%28.5%9.0%4.0%30.1%
22 Mar 2017Survation/38 Degrees50758%17%9%12%4%41%
7 May 20152015 Election Result58.6%18.3%10.8%8.5%3.8%40.3%

UKIP are not fielding a candidate in Tatton.

Preferred Prime Minister polling

Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which party leader they would prefer as Prime Minister – Theresa May (Conservative Party) or Jeremy Corbyn (Labour Party). The questions differ slightly from pollster to pollster:

  • Opinium, Lord Ashcroft and YouGov: "Which of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister?"
  • Kantar Public: "If you had to choose between Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn, who do you think would make the best leader for Britain?"
  • Ipsos MORI: "Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, the Conservative’s [sic] Theresa May, or Labour’s Jeremy Corbyn?"
  • Survation: "Which of the following party leaders do you think would make the best Prime Minister?"
  • ComRes: "For each of these pairs of statements, which one comes closest to your view? - Jeremy Corbyn would make a better Prime Minister than Theresa May/Theresa May would make a better Prime Minister than Jeremy Corbyn"
  • ICM: "Putting aside which party you support, and only thinking about your impression of them as leaders, which one of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister for Britain?"

May vs Corbyn

2017

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn None of these Not sure Lead
5-7 JunComRes 2,05148%39%N/A14%9%
6 JunSurvey Monkey/The Sun 11,00055%45%--10%
4–6 JunOpinium 3,00242%29%19%10%13%
2–3 JunSurvation 1,10350%36%N/A15%14%
31 May–2 JunComRes 2,03849%34%N/A17%15%
30 May–1 JunIpsos MORI 1,04650%35%6%8%15%
Pre-31 MaySurveyMonkey/The Sun 19,00058%39%??19%
30–31 MayOpinium 2,00642%26%21%12%16%
30–31 MayYouGov/The Times 1,87543%30%N/A27%13%
25–30 MayKantar Public 1,19938%23%23%15%15%
26–27 MaySurvation/Good Morning Britain 1,00953%30%N/A17%23%
24–26 MayICM/The Sun on Sunday 2,04448%27%N/A25%21%
24–26 MayComRes 2,02451%30%N/A19%21%
24–25 MaySurveyMonkey/The Sun ~6,00059%37%??22%
24–25 MayYouGov/The Times 2,05245%28%N/A27%17%
23–24 MayOpinium 2,00243%26%21%11%17%
18–22 MayKantar Public 1,20038%24%23%14%14%
16–17 MayYouGov/The Times 1,86146%23%N/A31%23%
16–17 MayOpinium 2,00345%22%21%12%23%
15–17 MayIpsos MORI 1,05356%29%8%6%27%
11–15 MayKantar Public 1,20141%18%22%19%23%
12–13 MaySurvation 1,01658%24%N/A19%34%
9–12 MayOpinium 2,00345%19%24%12%26%
9-10 MayYouGov/The Times 1,65149%21%N/A30%28%
4–8 MayKantar Public 1,20140%17%24%19%23%
5–6 MaySurvation 1,00560%21%N/A19%39%
2-3 MayOpinium 2,00546%18%25%11%28%
2-3 MayYouGov/The Times 2,06649%21%N/A29%28%
20–24 AprKantar Public 2,00343%17%20%20%26%
25–28 AprOpinium/The Observer 2,00744%19%25%12%25%
25–26 AprYouGov/The Times 1,59048%18%N/A33%30%
21–25 AprIpsos MORI[25] 1,00461%23%6%7%[26]38%
20–24 AprKantar Public[27] 2,00344%18%23%16%26%
19–20 AprOpinium/Observer 2,00349%14%26%11%35%
18–19 AprYouGov/The Times 1,72754%15%N/A31%39%
18 Apr Prime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a general election
12–13 AprYouGov/The Times 2,06950%14%N/A36%36%
11–13 AprOpinium/Observer 1,65147%14%28%11%33%
5–6 AprYouGov/The Times 1,65149%16%N/A35%33%
21–28 MarLord Ashcroft Polls 10,15355%18%N/A27%37%
26–27 MarYouGov/The Times 1,95751%13%N/A36%38%
20–21 MarYouGov/The Times 1,62747%14%N/A39%33%
14–17 MarOpinium/Observer 2,00745%14%29%12%31%
13–14 MarYouGov/The Times 1,63148%14%N/A38%34%
27–28 FebYouGov/The Times 1,66649%15%N/A36%34%
21–22 FebYouGov/The Times 2,06049%15%N/A36%34%
14–16 FebOpinium/Observer 2,00446%13%29%12%33%
12–13 FebYouGov/The Times 2,05249%15%N/A36%34%
31 Jan–1 FebOpinium/Observer 2,00543%14%29%14%29%
30–31 JanYouGov/The Times 1,70548%16%N/A36%32%
23–24 JanYouGov/The Times 1,64347%15%N/A38%32%
10–12 JanOpinium/Observer 2,00740%16%28%15%24%
9–10 JanYouGov/The Times 1,66045%17%N/A38%28%
3–4 JanYouGov/The Times 1,74047%14%N/A39%33%

2016

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn None of these Not sure Lead
18–19 DecYouGov/The Times 1,59544%16%N/A41%28%
13–16 DecOpinium/The Observer 2,00042%16%28%13%26%
4–5 DecYouGov/The Times 1,66749%16%N/A35%33%
28–29 NovYouGov/The Times 1,62445%18%N/A37%27%
15–18 NovOpinium/The Observer 2,00545%17%25%13%28%
14–15 NovYouGov/The Times 1,71748%18%N/A34%30%
1–4 NovOpinium/The Observer 2,00145%16%25%13%29%
31 Oct-1 NovYouGov/The Times 1,65547%17%N/A36%30%
24–25 OctYouGov/The Times 1,65548%16%N/A36%32%
11–12 OctYouGov/The Times 1,66951%18%N/A31%33%
13–14 SepYouGov/The Times 1,73250%18%N/A33%32%
30–31 AugYouGov/The Times 1,68752%21%N/A27%31%
22–23 AugYouGov/The Times 1,66050%19%N/A30%31%
16–17 AugYouGov/The Times 1,67751%19%N/A30%32%
8–9 AugYouGov/The Times 1,69252%18%N/A29%34%
1–2 AugYouGov/The Times 1,72252%18%N/A30%34%
25–26 JulYouGov/The Times 1,68052%18%N/A30%34%
13 JulTheresa May becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
23 JunThe UK votes to leave the EU; David Cameron announces he will resign as Prime Minister
5 MayUK elections, 2016 including the Ogmore and Sheffield Brightside & Hillsborough by-elections
11–12 AprYouGov/The Times 1,69323%30%N/A46%7%

Cameron vs Corbyn

2016

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size David Cameron Jeremy Corbyn None of these Not sure Lead
11–12 AprYouGov/The Times 1,69332%25%N/A42%7%

2015

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size David Cameron Jeremy Corbyn None of these Not sure Lead
18–19 DecYouGov/The Times 1,59549%23%N/A29%28%
13–16 DecOpinium/The Observer 2,00042%16%28%13%26%
25–28 SepComRes 2,02454%30%N/A16%24%

Multiple party leaders

Some polls ask voters to choose between multiple party leaders. The questions vary by pollster:

  • Lord Ashcroft: "Which of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister?"
  • ComRes: "Who of the following would make the best Prime Minister after the upcoming General Election?"
  • YouGov: "Which of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister?"

2017

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn Tim Farron Paul Nuttall Don't Know Lead
27 April–1 MayLord Ashcroft Polls 40,32964%25%11%N/AN/A39%
27–28 AprYouGov/Sunday Times 1,61245%16%6%2%32%29%
20–21 AprYouGov/Sunday Times 1,59046%12%6%1%35%34%
19–20 AprComRes/Sunday Mirror 2,07462%25%10%4%N/A37%

2016

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn Tim Farron Lead
11–22 AugLord Ashcroft Polls 8,00167%25%8%42%

Hypothetical polling

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 Includes those expressing a voting intention for Plaid Cymru.
  2. 1 2 3 4 Telephone.
  3. 1 2 This survey included respondents from Northern Ireland.
  4. GB forecast only
  5. Electoral Calculus counts Speaker John Bercow in the Conservative total

References

  1. "Westminster Voting Intention". OpinionBee.uk. Retrieved 16 October 2016.
  2. "Results of the 2017 General Election". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
  3. "Election campaigning suspended after London Bridge attack". 4 June 2017.
  4. "Election 2015: Results – National". BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
  5. "Election 2015: Results – Northern Ireland". BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
  6. Revell, Timothy (9 June 2017). "How YouGov's experimental poll correctly called the UK election". New Scientist. Retrieved 9 June 2017.
  7. "Results of the 2017 General Election". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
  8. 1 2 Hanretty, Chris. "2017 UK Parliamentary Election Forecast". electionforecast.co.uk. Retrieved 31 May 2017.
  9. 1 2 "General Election Prediction". electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 31 May 2017.
  10. "Ashcroft Model update: absent UKIP, and Labour's enthusiasm question". lordashcroftpolls.com.
  11. Combined probabilistic estimate
  12. 1 2 "COMBINED FORECAST FOR GE2017: SECOND UPDATE". 2 June 2017.
  13. "CONSTITUENCY FORECASTS, June 2017, New Statesman". 31 May 2017.
  14. 1 2 "Voting intention and seat estimates". Retrieved 6 June 2017.
  15. 1 2 "The Britain Elects Nowcast". Retrieved 7 June 2017.
  16. "#GE17 UK General Election 2017 – 6 June projection". Scenaripolitici.com (in Italian). 2017-06-06. Retrieved 2017-06-07.
  17. "Forecast #GE2017 – 8th June 2017". Forecast UK. 8 June 2017.
  18. "Election 2017: The Ashcroft Model". Lord Ashcroft Polls. 12 May 2017. Retrieved 17 May 2017.
  19. "Dapresy". dashboards.lordashcroftpolls.com.
  20. "#GE17 UK General Election 2017 – 6 June projection". Scenaripolitici.com (in Italian). 2017-06-06. Retrieved 2017-06-07.
  21. "Results of the 2017 General Election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
  22. "Results of the 2017 General Election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
  23. including Green
  24. "Results of the 2017 General Election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
  25. Ipsos MORI's figures for 'don't know' are significantly lower than other pollsters on this question as they only prompt for May and Corbyn, with don't know/other/none included if respondents offer it unprompted
  26. 1% of respondents chose 'Other' and a further 1% said 'no difference'.
  27. The question used by Kantar Public differs slightly in its wording from other pollsters. They ask: "If you had to choose between Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn, who do you think would make the best leader for Britain?"
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