Italian oil drilling referendum, 2016

A referendum on oil and natural gas drilling was held in Italy on 17 April 2016.[1] The referendum was on the proposed repealing of a law that allows gas and oil drilling concessions extracting hydrocarbon within 12 nautical miles of the Italian coast to be prolonged until the exhaustion of the useful life of the fields.

Although 86% voted in favour of repealing the law, the turnout of 31% was below the majority threshold required to validate the result.[2]

It was the first referendum requested by at least five Regional Councils in the history of the Italian Republic: all 66 previous referendum questions since 1974 were called after the collection of signatures.

Background

The search for hydrocarbon liquids and/or gases in the Italian sea is possible - with some restrictions for the coastal and environmental protection - only in certain "marine areas" identified by the Italian Parliament or by the Ministry of Economic Development. From 2013, new drilling is prohibited in the Tyrrhenian Sea, in the marine protected areas and in the waters within 12 nautical miles from the coast; however, the concessions approved before 2013 may continue until all of the resources are extracted.

Italy authorized a total of 79 offshore platforms: 31 are located over 12 miles from and 48 within 12 miles.

Off-shore production of hydrocarbons in Italy

Within 12 miles, 9 concessions are authorized (with 39 platforms) and their permits have expired and they have asked for an extension: if the "yes" vote wins in the referendum, the 9 expired concessions can not be extended. During 2015 those installations extracted about 622 million cubic meters of natural gas (equivalent to 9% of the national production and 1.1% of total consumption in 2014).

Under the 12 mile limit, there are 17 other concessions expiring between 2017 and 2027, which in 2015 extracted 1.21 billion cubic meters of gas (17.6% of national production and 2.1 % of national consumption in 2014) and 500,000 tons of oil (about 9.1% of national production and 0.8% of consumption in 2014). These concessions, in the event of a victory for 'yes' in the referendum, will not be extended after 2027.

Extraction of hydrocarbons in the offshore platforms located within 12 miles from the coast (2015)[3]
Marine zone
(Region)
Natural gas
()
Natural gasoline
(kg)
Petroleum
(kg)
A – Emilia-Romagna[A 1] 935,758,382 140,487 0
B – Marche and Abruzzo[A 2] 54,004,511 436,237 295,826,731
C – Sicily[A 3] 4,625,021 0 247,054,152
D – Calabria[A 4] 622,667,455 0 0
Total production within 12 nautical miles (2015)[3] 1,518,932,151 576,724 542,880,883
Production percentage of the national consumption 2.27% 0.91%
National consumption (2015) ~66,900,000,000[4] 59,809,999,998[5]

Referendum initiative

The referendum was proposed by several regional governments after the national government passed a law allowing drilling concessions to last until oilfields or gasfields are empty.[6] On 19 January 2016 the Constitutional Court approved the referendum.[6] On 12 February the Five Star Movement asked President Sergio Mattarella to delay the referendum until June to allow it to be held alongside local elections in order to raise turnout and save money.[7]

Position of main political parties

Choice Parties Leaders
Yes Five Star Movement (Movimento Cinque Stelle, M5S) Beppe Grillo
Forward Italy (Forza Italia, FI) Silvio Berlusconi
Northern League (Lega Nord, LN) Matteo Salvini
Italian Left (Sinistra Italiana, SI) TBD
Brothers of Italy (Fratelli d'Italia, FdI) Giorgia Meloni
Italy of Values (Italia dei Valori, IdV) Ignazio Messina
Federation of the Greens (Federazione dei Verdi, FdV) Giobbe Covatta
Possible (Possibile) Giuseppe Civati
No Movement for Autonomies (Movimento per le Autonomie, MpA) Raffaele Lombardo
The Megaphone (Il Megafono) Rosario Crocetta
Abstention Democratic Party (Partito Democratico, PD) Matteo Renzi
New Centre-Right (Nuovo Centrodestra, NCD) Angelino Alfano
Civic Choice (Scelta Civica, SC) Enrico Zanetti
Union of the Centre (Unione di Centro, UdC) Pierferdinando Casini

Opinion polls

Date Polling firm
Yes

No
Lead
28 Mar 2016 Piepoli 82.3 17.7 64.6
22 Mar 2016 Demopolis 74.0 26.0 48.0
15-16 Feb 2016 SWG 78.0 22.0 56.0
9-11 Dec 2015 Ixè 72.3 27.7 44.6

Results

Choice Votes %
Yes13,334,60785.85
No2,198,71514.15
Invalid/blank votes273,166
Total15,806,488100
Registered voters/turnout50,681,77231.19
Source: Ministry of the Interior
Popular vote
Y Yes
85.85%
N No
14.15%

Notes

  1. Concessions: A.C 1.AG, A.C 2.AS, A.C 3.AS, A.C 4.AS, A.C 5.AV, A.C 8.ME, A.C 17.AG, A.C 21.AG, A.C 26.EA, A.C 27.EA, A.C 29.EA, A.C 30.EA and CERVIA MARE.
  2. Concessions: B.C 1.LF, B.C 3.AS, B.C 5.AS, B.C 7.LF and B.C 8.LF.
  3. Concessions: C.C 1.AG, C.C 3.AG and C.C 6.AG.
  4. Concessions: D.C 1.AG and D.C 4.AG.

References

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